Which of 2 stocks would appeal to long-term investors? Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI), Moody’s Corporation (MCO)

The shares of Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. have decreased by more than -37.19% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 0.34% or $0.19 and now trades at $55.84. The shares of Moody’s Corporation (NYSE:MCO), has jumped by 1.51% year to date as of 12/06/2018. The shares currently trade at $149.84 and have been able to report a change of -5.59% over the past one week.

The stock of Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. and Moody’s Corporation were two of the most active stocks on Thursday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Next 5Y EPS Growth: 10.13% versus 14.25%

When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that TCBI will grow it’s earning at a 10.13% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to MCO which will have a positive growth at a 14.25% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of MCO implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. TCBI has an EBITDA margin of 68.43%, this implies that the underlying business of TCBI is more profitable. The ROI of TCBI is 24.80% while that of MCO is 16.20%. These figures suggest that TCBI ventures generate a higher ROI than that of MCO.

Cash Flow

The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, TCBI’s free cash flow per share is a positive 0.02, while that of MCO is positive 4.65.

Liquidity and Financial Risk

The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The debt ratio of TCBI is 0.17 compared to 12.38 for MCO. MCO can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than TCBI.


TCBI currently trades at a forward P/E of 8.38, a P/B of 1.23, and a P/S of 2.57 while MCO trades at a forward P/E of 18.35, a P/B of 71.69, and a P/S of 6.32. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, TCBI is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of TCBI is currently at a -35.16% to its one-year price target of 86.12. Looking at its rival pricing, MCO is at a -10.77% relative to its price target of 167.92.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), TCBI is given a 2.30 while 2.50 placed for MCO. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for MCO stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for TCBI is 2.56 while that of MCO is just 3.47. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for TCBI stock.


The stock of Moody’s Corporation defeats that of Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. when the two are compared, with MCO taking 4 out of the total factors that were been considered. MCO happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, MCO is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for MCO is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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