Earnings

Comparing Valuation And Performance: Helios and Matheson Analytics Inc. (HMNY), Altria Group, Inc. (MO)

The shares of Helios and Matheson Analytics Inc. have decreased by more than -100.00% this year alone. The shares of Altria Group, Inc. (NYSE:MO), has slumped by -21.96% year to date as of 12/03/2018. The shares currently trade at $55.73 and have been able to report a change of 4.74% over the past one week.

The stock of Helios and Matheson Analytics Inc. and Altria Group, Inc. were two of the most active stocks on Monday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. The ROI of HMNY is 171.20% while that of MO is 24.00%. These figures suggest that HMNY ventures generate a higher ROI than that of MO.

Cash Flow

The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, HMNY’s free cash flow per share is a negative -2.47, while that of MO is positive 5.22.

Liquidity and Financial Risk



The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for HMNY is 0.70 and that of MO is 0.60. This implies that it is easier for HMNY to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than MO. The debt ratio of HMNY is 0.09 compared to 0.90 for MO. MO can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than HMNY.

Valuation

HMNY currently trades at a P/B of 0.11, and a P/S of 0.13 while MO trades at a forward P/E of 12.90, a P/B of 6.77, and a P/S of 4.21. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, HMNY is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of HMNY is currently at a -100% to its one-year price target of 3000.00. Looking at its rival pricing, MO is at a -15.33% relative to its price target of 65.82.




When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), HMNY is given a 3.00 while 2.20 placed for MO. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for HMNY stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for HMNY is 0.64 while that of MO is just 2.62. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for HMNY stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Altria Group, Inc. defeats that of Helios and Matheson Analytics Inc. when the two are compared, with MO taking 6 out of the total factors that were been considered. MO happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, MO is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for MO is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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