Earnings

Uncovering the next great stocks: OGE Energy Corp. (OGE), Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM)

The shares of OGE Energy Corp. have increased by more than 14.55% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 0.67% or $0.25 and now trades at $37.70. The shares of Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (NYSE:WPM), has slumped by -25.98% year to date as of 11/08/2018. The shares currently trade at $16.38 and have been able to report a change of -4.60% over the past one week.

The stock of OGE Energy Corp. and Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. were two of the most active stocks on Thursday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Next 5Y EPS Growth: -2.35% versus 6.61%

When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that OGE will grow it’s earning at a -2.35% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to WPM which will have a positive growth at a 6.61% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of WPM implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. OGE has an EBITDA margin of 39.29%, this implies that the underlying business of OGE is more profitable. The ROI of OGE is 4.50% while that of WPM is 1.30%. These figures suggest that OGE ventures generate a higher ROI than that of WPM.

Cash Flow



The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, OGE’s free cash flow per share is a negative -0.71, while that of WPM is also a negative -0.08.

Liquidity and Financial Risk

The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for OGE is 0.40 and that of WPM is 4.80. This implies that it is easier for OGE to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than WPM. The debt ratio of OGE is 0.82 compared to 0.18 for WPM. OGE can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than WPM.

Valuation

OGE currently trades at a forward P/E of 17.74, a P/B of 1.94, and a P/S of 3.33 while WPM trades at a forward P/E of 27.48, a P/B of 1.39, and a P/S of 8.50. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, OGE is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions




The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of OGE is currently at a 0.35% to its one-year price target of 37.57. Looking at its rival pricing, WPM is at a -38.05% relative to its price target of 26.44.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), OGE is given a 2.70 while 1.80 placed for WPM. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for OGE stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for OGE is 2.78 while that of WPM is just 3.97. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for OGE stock.

Conclusion

The stock of OGE Energy Corp. defeats that of Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. when the two are compared, with OGE taking 6 out of the total factors that were been considered. OGE happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, OGE is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for OGE is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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