Earnings

Choosing Between Hot Stocks: W. P. Carey Inc. (WPC), Oshkosh Corporation (OSK)

The shares of W. P. Carey Inc. have decreased by more than -5.59% this year alone. The shares recently went down by -0.09% or -$0.06 and now trades at $65.05. The shares of Oshkosh Corporation (NYSE:OSK), has slumped by -25.94% year to date as of 11/08/2018. The shares currently trade at $67.31 and have been able to report a change of -1.25% over the past one week.

The stock of W. P. Carey Inc. and Oshkosh Corporation were two of the most active stocks on Thursday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. WPC has an EBITDA margin of 87.93%, this implies that the underlying business of WPC is more profitable. The ROI of WPC is 4.70% while that of OSK is 10.70%. These figures suggest that OSK ventures generate a higher ROI than that of WPC.

Cash Flow

The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, WPC’s free cash flow per share is a positive 0, while that of OSK is positive 2.03.

Liquidity and Financial Risk



The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The debt ratio of WPC is 1.42 compared to 0.34 for OSK. WPC can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than OSK.

Valuation

WPC currently trades at a forward P/E of 28.09, a P/B of 2.27, and a P/S of 8.51 while OSK trades at a forward P/E of 8.90, a P/B of 2.05, and a P/S of 0.67. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, OSK is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of WPC is currently at a -2.85% to its one-year price target of 66.96. Looking at its rival pricing, OSK is at a -21.04% relative to its price target of 85.25.




When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), WPC is given a 3.10 while 2.40 placed for OSK. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for WPC stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for WPC is 3.63 while that of OSK is just 2.85. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for OSK stock.

Conclusion

The stock of W. P. Carey Inc. defeats that of Oshkosh Corporation when the two are compared, with WPC taking 2 out of the total factors that were been considered. WPC happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, WPC is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for WPC is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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