The shares of Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. have increased by more than 31.52% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 5.08% or $2.4 and now trades at $49.65. The shares of ServiceMaster Global Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:SERV), has jumped by 25.97% year to date as of 11/08/2018. The shares currently trade at $43.37 and have been able to report a change of 1.14% over the past one week.
The stock of Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. and ServiceMaster Global Holdings, Inc. were two of the most active stocks on Thursday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.Next 5Y EPS Growth: 19.30% versus 10.30%
When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that ALRM will grow it’s earning at a 19.30% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to SERV which will have a positive growth at a 10.30% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of ALRM implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.Profitability and Returns
Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. ALRM has an EBITDA margin of 9.31%, this implies that the underlying business of SERV is more profitable. The ROI of ALRM is 12.90% while that of SERV is 9.80%. These figures suggest that ALRM ventures generate a higher ROI than that of SERV.Cash Flow
The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, ALRM’s free cash flow per share is a positive 0, while that of SERV is positive 3.72.Liquidity and Financial Risk
The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for ALRM is 4.20 and that of SERV is 1.00. This implies that it is easier for ALRM to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than SERV. The debt ratio of ALRM is 0.26 compared to 2.03 for SERV. SERV can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than ALRM.Valuation
ALRM currently trades at a forward P/E of 35.98, a P/B of 8.85, and a P/S of 6.10 while SERV trades at a forward P/E of 27.02, a P/B of 4.36, and a P/S of 1.95. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, SERV is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.Analyst Price Targets and Opinions
The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of ALRM is currently at a -11.76% to its one-year price target of 56.27. Looking at its rival pricing, SERV is at a -6.39% relative to its price target of 46.33.
When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), ALRM is given a 1.90 while 1.80 placed for SERV. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for ALRM stocks.Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment
Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for ALRM is 7.35 while that of SERV is just 2.34. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for SERV stock.
The stock of Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. defeats that of ServiceMaster Global Holdings, Inc. when the two are compared, with ALRM taking 5 out of the total factors that were been considered. ALRM happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, ALRM is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for ALRM is better on when it is viewed on short interest.