Earnings

Financially Devastating or Fantastic? – Companhia Energetica de Minas Gerais (CIG), B2Gold Corp. (BTG)

The shares of Companhia Energetica de Minas Gerais have increased by more than 28.16% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 2.72% or $0.07 and now trades at $2.64. The shares of B2Gold Corp. (NYSE:BTG), has slumped by -16.77% year to date as of 10/11/2018. The shares currently trade at $2.58 and have been able to report a change of 5.74% over the past one week.

The stock of Companhia Energetica de Minas Gerais and B2Gold Corp. were two of the most active stocks on Thursday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Next 5Y EPS Growth: 0.00% versus 15.80%

When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that CIG will grow it’s earning at a 0.00% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to BTG which will have a positive growth at a 15.80% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of BTG implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. These figures suggest that CIG ventures generate a higher ROI than that of BTG.

Cash Flow



The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, CIG’s free cash flow per share is a positive 4.63.

Valuation

CIG currently trades at a forward P/E of 6.65, a P/B of 1.02, and a P/S of 0.63 while BTG trades at a forward P/E of 12.29, a P/B of 1.55, and a P/S of 2.66. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, CIG is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of CIG is currently at a -2.22% to its one-year price target of 2.70. Looking at its rival pricing, BTG is at a -26.29% relative to its price target of 3.50.




When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), CIG is given a 2.00 while 1.50 placed for BTG. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for CIG stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for CIG is 3.04 while that of BTG is just 4.64. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for CIG stock.

Conclusion

The stock of B2Gold Corp. defeats that of Companhia Energetica de Minas Gerais when the two are compared, with BTG taking 5 out of the total factors that were been considered. BTG happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, BTG is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for BTG is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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