Earnings

Alliant Energy Corporation (LNT) is better stock pick than Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. (HLF)

The shares of Alliant Energy Corporation have increased by more than 0.02% this year alone. The shares recently went down by -2.94% or -$1.29 and now trades at $42.62. The shares of Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. (NYSE:HLF), has jumped by 53.57% year to date as of 10/11/2018. The shares currently trade at $52.00 and have been able to report a change of -3.67% over the past one week.

The stock of Alliant Energy Corporation and Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. were two of the most active stocks on Thursday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Next 5Y EPS Growth: 5.75% versus -0.50%

When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that LNT will grow it’s earning at a 5.75% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to HLF which will have a positive growth at a -0.50% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of LNT implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. LNT has an EBITDA margin of 22.41%, this implies that the underlying business of LNT is more profitable. The ROI of LNT is 6.20% while that of HLF is 26.50%. These figures suggest that HLF ventures generate a higher ROI than that of LNT.

Cash Flow



The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, LNT’s free cash flow per share is a negative -18.18, while that of HLF is positive 4.01.

Liquidity and Financial Risk

The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for LNT is 0.60 and that of HLF is 0.90. This implies that it is easier for LNT to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than HLF.

Valuation

LNT currently trades at a forward P/E of 18.98, a P/B of 2.27, and a P/S of 2.80 while HLF trades at a forward P/E of 16.06, and a P/S of 1.79. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, LNT is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions




The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of LNT is currently at a -0.21% to its one-year price target of 42.71. Looking at its rival pricing, HLF is at a -18.24% relative to its price target of 63.60.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), LNT is given a 3.00 while 2.20 placed for HLF. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for LNT stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for LNT is 4.41 while that of HLF is just 11.03. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for LNT stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Alliant Energy Corporation defeats that of Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. when the two are compared, with LNT taking 4 out of the total factors that were been considered. LNT happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, LNT is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for LNT is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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