Earnings

A Comparison of Top Movers: VICI Properties Inc. (VICI), KapStone Paper and Packaging Corporation (KS)

The shares of VICI Properties Inc. have increased by more than 0.63% this year alone. The shares recently went down by -2.73% or -$0.58 and now trades at $20.63. The shares of KapStone Paper and Packaging Corporation (NYSE:KS), has jumped by 43.76% year to date as of 10/11/2018. The shares currently trade at $32.62 and have been able to report a change of -3.92% over the past one week.

The stock of VICI Properties Inc. and KapStone Paper and Packaging Corporation were two of the most active stocks on Thursday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Next 5Y EPS Growth: 60.37% versus 25.72%

When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that VICI will grow it’s earning at a 60.37% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to KS which will have a positive growth at a 25.72% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of VICI implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. VICI has an EBITDA margin of 83.77%, this implies that the underlying business of VICI is more profitable. The ROI of VICI is 1.10% while that of KS is 5.70%. These figures suggest that KS ventures generate a higher ROI than that of VICI.

Cash Flow



The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, VICI’s free cash flow per share is a positive 0.03, while that of KS is negative -0.68.

Liquidity and Financial Risk

The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for VICI is 9.20 and that of KS is 2.20. This implies that it is easier for VICI to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than KS. The debt ratio of VICI is 0.68 compared to 1.24 for KS. KS can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than VICI.

Valuation

VICI currently trades at a forward P/E of 12.16, a P/B of 1.25, and a P/S of 12.23 while KS trades at a forward P/E of 12.70, a P/B of 2.63, and a P/S of 0.93. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, VICI is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions




The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of VICI is currently at a -11.69% to its one-year price target of 23.36. Looking at its rival pricing, KS is at a -2.45% relative to its price target of 33.44.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), VICI is given a 2.50 while 3.00 placed for KS. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for KS stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for VICI is 1.27 while that of KS is just 5.06. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for VICI stock.

Conclusion

The stock of KapStone Paper and Packaging Corporation defeats that of VICI Properties Inc. when the two are compared, with KS taking 2 out of the total factors that were been considered. KS happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, KS is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for KS is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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