Earnings

Reliable Long-term Trend to Profit From: Cheetah Mobile Inc. (CMCM), Real Goods Solar, Inc. (RGSE)

The shares of Cheetah Mobile Inc. have decreased by more than -18.29% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 9.42% or $0.85 and now trades at $9.87. The shares of Real Goods Solar, Inc. (NASDAQ:RGSE), has slumped by -74.32% year to date as of 09/13/2018. The shares currently trade at $0.38 and have been able to report a change of -10.17% over the past one week.

The stock of Cheetah Mobile Inc. and Real Goods Solar, Inc. were two of the most active stocks on Thursday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. CMCM has an EBITDA margin of 32%, this implies that the underlying business of CMCM is more profitable. These figures suggest that CMCM ventures generate a higher ROI than that of RGSE.

Cash Flow

The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, CMCM’s free cash flow per share is a positive 0, while that of RGSE is negative -0.1.

Liquidity and Financial Risk



The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for CMCM is 3.10 and that of RGSE is 1.40. This implies that it is easier for CMCM to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than RGSE.

Valuation

CMCM currently trades at a forward P/E of 13.71, a P/B of 2.05, and a P/S of 2.06 while RGSE trades at a P/S of 1.17. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, CMCM is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of CMCM is currently at a -7.06% to its one-year price target of 10.62. Looking at its rival pricing, RGSE is at a -81% relative to its price target of 2.00.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment




Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for CMCM is 7.82 while that of RGSE is just 1.02. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for RGSE stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Cheetah Mobile Inc. defeats that of Real Goods Solar, Inc. when the two are compared, with CMCM taking 5 out of the total factors that were been considered. CMCM happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, CMCM is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for CMCM is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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