Earnings

Are These Stocks A Sure Bet? – Olin Corporation (OLN), Amicus Therapeutics, Inc. (FOLD)

The shares of Olin Corporation have decreased by more than -16.53% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 0.37% or $0.11 and now trades at $29.70. The shares of Amicus Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:FOLD), has slumped by -8.13% year to date as of 08/17/2018. The shares currently trade at $13.22 and have been able to report a change of -13.88% over the past one week.

The stock of Olin Corporation and Amicus Therapeutics, Inc. were two of the most active stocks on Friday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. OLN has an EBITDA margin of 15.79%, this implies that the underlying business of OLN is more profitable. The ROI of OLN is 5.10% while that of FOLD is -21.70%. These figures suggest that OLN ventures generate a higher ROI than that of FOLD.

Cash Flow

The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, OLN’s free cash flow per share is a positive 1.01, while that of FOLD is negative -0.16.

Liquidity and Financial Risk



The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for OLN is 1.80 and that of FOLD is 10.90. This implies that it is easier for OLN to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than FOLD. The debt ratio of OLN is 1.27 compared to 0.30 for FOLD. OLN can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than FOLD.

Valuation

OLN currently trades at a forward P/E of 11.02, a P/B of 1.80, and a P/S of 0.75 while FOLD trades at a P/B of 4.44, and a P/S of 39.68. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, OLN is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of OLN is currently at a -22.01% to its one-year price target of 38.08. Looking at its rival pricing, FOLD is at a -38.28% relative to its price target of 21.42.




When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), OLN is given a 2.20 while 1.70 placed for FOLD. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for OLN stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for OLN is 2.82 while that of FOLD is just 12.54. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for OLN stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Amicus Therapeutics, Inc. defeats that of Olin Corporation when the two are compared, with FOLD taking 6 out of the total factors that were been considered. FOLD happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, FOLD is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for FOLD is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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