Earnings

Which is more compelling pick right now? – Weight Watchers International, Inc. (WTW), Companhia Siderurgica Nacional (SID)

The shares of Weight Watchers International, Inc. have increased by more than 62.40% this year alone. The shares recently went down by -7.08% or -$5.48 and now trades at $71.91. The shares of Companhia Siderurgica Nacional (NYSE:SID), has slumped by -8.16% year to date as of 08/15/2018. The shares currently trade at $2.25 and have been able to report a change of -9.64% over the past one week.

The stock of Weight Watchers International, Inc. and Companhia Siderurgica Nacional were two of the most active stocks on Wednesday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Next 5Y EPS Growth: 40.20% versus 22.30%

When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that WTW will grow it’s earning at a 40.20% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to SID which will have a positive growth at a 22.30% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of WTW implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. WTW has an EBITDA margin of 25.66%, this implies that the underlying business of WTW is more profitable. The ROI of WTW is 25.10% while that of SID is 7.00%. These figures suggest that WTW ventures generate a higher ROI than that of SID.

Cash Flow



The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, WTW’s free cash flow per share is a positive 6.47.

Liquidity and Financial Risk

The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for WTW is 0.80 and that of SID is 1.30. This implies that it is easier for WTW to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than SID.

Valuation

WTW currently trades at a forward P/E of 18.85, and a P/S of 3.47 while SID trades at a forward P/E of 7.19, a P/B of 1.69, and a P/S of 0.63. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, SID is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions




The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of WTW is currently at a -38.01% to its one-year price target of 116.00. Looking at its rival pricing, SID is at a -77.77% relative to its price target of 10.12.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), WTW is given a 1.90 while 3.00 placed for SID. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for SID stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for WTW is 2.78 while that of SID is just 1.85. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for SID stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Companhia Siderurgica Nacional defeats that of Weight Watchers International, Inc. when the two are compared, with SID taking 5 out of the total factors that were been considered. SID happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, SID is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for SID is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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