Which of these 2 stocks can turn out to be absolute gem? – Arconic Inc. (ARNC), Marathon Patent Group, Inc. (MARA)

The shares of Arconic Inc. have decreased by more than -29.54% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 10.47% or $1.82 and now trades at $19.20. The shares of Marathon Patent Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:MARA), has slumped by -75.37% year to date as of 07/16/2018. The shares currently trade at $1.01 and have been able to report a change of 10.98% over the past one week.

The stock of Arconic Inc. and Marathon Patent Group, Inc. were two of the most active stocks on Monday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Next 5Y EPS Growth: 20.00% versus 50.00%

When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that ARNC will grow it’s earning at a 20.00% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to MARA which will have a positive growth at a 50.00% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of MARA implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. ARNC has an EBITDA margin of 10.32%, this implies that the underlying business of ARNC is more profitable. The ROI of ARNC is 0.50% while that of MARA is -26.70%. These figures suggest that ARNC ventures generate a higher ROI than that of MARA.

Cash Flow

The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, ARNC’s free cash flow per share is a negative -4.32, while that of MARA is also a negative -2.41.

Liquidity and Financial Risk

The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for ARNC is 2.10 and that of MARA is 1.40. This implies that it is easier for ARNC to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than MARA. The debt ratio of ARNC is 1.22 compared to 0.19 for MARA. ARNC can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than MARA.


ARNC currently trades at a forward P/E of 12.44, a P/B of 1.77, and a P/S of 0.70 while MARA trades at a P/B of 1.84, and a P/S of 28.21. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, ARNC is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of ARNC is currently at a -14.44% to its one-year price target of 22.44. Looking at its rival pricing, MARA is at a -74.75% relative to its price target of 4.00.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), ARNC is given a 2.50 while 2.00 placed for MARA. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for ARNC stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for ARNC is 2.56 while that of MARA is just 2.72. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for ARNC stock.


The stock of Arconic Inc. defeats that of Marathon Patent Group, Inc. when the two are compared, with ARNC taking 7 out of the total factors that were been considered. ARNC happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, ARNC is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for ARNC is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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