Earnings

Choosing Between Hot Stocks: Sears Holdings Corporation (SHLD), Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE)

The shares of Sears Holdings Corporation have decreased by more than -39.11% this year alone. The shares recently went down by -3.54% or -$0.08 and now trades at $2.18. The shares of Obsidian Energy Ltd. (NYSE:OBE), has slumped by -12.10% year to date as of 07/16/2018. The shares currently trade at $1.09 and have been able to report a change of -2.68% over the past one week.

The stock of Sears Holdings Corporation and Obsidian Energy Ltd. were two of the most active stocks on Monday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. SHLD has an EBITDA margin of 0.08%, this implies that the underlying business of SHLD is more profitable. The ROI of SHLD is -74.40% while that of OBE is -6.50%. These figures suggest that OBE ventures generate a higher ROI than that of SHLD.

Cash Flow

The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, SHLD’s free cash flow per share is a negative -6.99.

Liquidity and Financial Risk



The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for SHLD is 0.80 and that of OBE is 0.70. This implies that it is easier for SHLD to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than OBE.

Valuation

SHLD currently trades at a P/S of 0.02 while OBE trades at a P/B of 0.34, and a P/S of 1.78. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, SHLD is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of SHLD is currently at a 9% to its one-year price target of 2.00. Looking at its rival pricing, OBE is at a -25.34% relative to its price target of 1.46.




When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), SHLD is given a 4.00 while 2.20 placed for OBE. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for SHLD stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for SHLD is 8.59 while that of OBE is just 9.03. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for SHLD stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Obsidian Energy Ltd. defeats that of Sears Holdings Corporation when the two are compared, with OBE taking 6 out of the total factors that were been considered. OBE happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, OBE is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for OBE is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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