Earnings

Set Sail With Avon Products, Inc. (AVP), Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. (HTZ)

The shares of Avon Products, Inc. have decreased by more than -32.56% this year alone. The shares recently went down by -2.68% or -$0.04 and now trades at $1.45. The shares of Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:HTZ), has slumped by -35.88% year to date as of 07/12/2018. The shares currently trade at $14.17 and have been able to report a change of -10.37% over the past one week.

The stock of Avon Products, Inc. and Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. were two of the most active stocks on Thursday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. AVP has an EBITDA margin of 6.82%, this implies that the underlying business of HTZ is more profitable. The ROI of AVP is 12.60% while that of HTZ is 11.40%. These figures suggest that AVP ventures generate a higher ROI than that of HTZ.

Cash Flow

The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, AVP’s free cash flow per share is a negative -2.16, while that of HTZ is also a negative -36.91.

Valuation



AVP currently trades at a forward P/E of 6.17, and a P/S of 0.11 while HTZ trades at a forward P/E of 46.01, a P/B of 1.04, and a P/S of 0.13. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, AVP is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of AVP is currently at a -44.66% to its one-year price target of 2.62. Looking at its rival pricing, HTZ is at a -32.97% relative to its price target of 21.14.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), AVP is given a 2.90 while 3.00 placed for HTZ. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for HTZ stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment




Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for AVP is 4.75 while that of HTZ is just 6.20. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for AVP stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. defeats that of Avon Products, Inc. when the two are compared, with HTZ taking 1 out of the total factors that were been considered. HTZ happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, HTZ is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for HTZ is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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