Earnings

Which Market Offer More Value? – General Mills, Inc. (GIS), Baidu, Inc. (BIDU)

The shares of General Mills, Inc. have decreased by more than -24.62% this year alone. The shares of Baidu, Inc. (NASDAQ:BIDU), has jumped by 11.55% year to date as of 07/11/2018. The shares currently trade at $261.25 and have been able to report a change of 6.01% over the past one week.

The stock of General Mills, Inc. and Baidu, Inc. were two of the most active stocks on Wednesday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Next 5Y EPS Growth: 5.15% versus 2.57%

When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that GIS will grow it’s earning at a 5.15% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to BIDU which will have a positive growth at a 2.57% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of GIS implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. GIS has an EBITDA margin of 19.87%, this implies that the underlying business of GIS is more profitable. The ROI of GIS is 8.60% while that of BIDU is 6.40%. These figures suggest that GIS ventures generate a higher ROI than that of BIDU.

Cash Flow



The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, GIS’s free cash flow per share is a positive 1.21, while that of BIDU is negative -2.37.

Liquidity and Financial Risk

The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for GIS is 0.60 and that of BIDU is 2.00. This implies that it is easier for GIS to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than BIDU. The debt ratio of GIS is 2.58 compared to 0.41 for BIDU. GIS can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than BIDU.

Valuation

GIS currently trades at a forward P/E of 13.72, a P/B of 4.27, and a P/S of 1.63 while BIDU trades at a forward P/E of 21.58, a P/B of 4.85, and a P/S of 6.66. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, GIS is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions




The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of GIS is currently at a -7.44% to its one-year price target of 48.28. Looking at its rival pricing, BIDU is at a -13.29% relative to its price target of 301.29.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), GIS is given a 2.80 while 2.00 placed for BIDU. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for GIS stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for GIS is 5.21 while that of BIDU is just 1.27. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for BIDU stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Baidu, Inc. defeats that of General Mills, Inc. when the two are compared, with BIDU taking 5 out of the total factors that were been considered. BIDU happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, BIDU is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for BIDU is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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