Earnings

Taking Tally Of Francesca’s Holdings Corporation (FRAN), Chart Industries, Inc. (GTLS)

The shares of Francesca’s Holdings Corporation have decreased by more than -15.60% this year alone. The shares recently went down by -5.80% or -$0.38 and now trades at $6.17. The shares of Chart Industries, Inc. (NASDAQ:GTLS), has jumped by 46.48% year to date as of 06/13/2018. The shares currently trade at $68.64 and have been able to report a change of -2.17% over the past one week.

The stock of Francesca’s Holdings Corporation and Chart Industries, Inc. were two of the most active stocks on Wednesday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Next 5Y EPS Growth: 10.00% versus 28.80%

When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that FRAN will grow it’s earning at a 10.00% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to GTLS which will have a positive growth at a 28.80% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of GTLS implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. FRAN has an EBITDA margin of 8.79%, this implies that the underlying business of FRAN is more profitable. The ROI of FRAN is 16.60% while that of GTLS is 2.40%. These figures suggest that FRAN ventures generate a higher ROI than that of GTLS.

Cash Flow



The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, FRAN’s free cash flow per share is a positive -0.

Liquidity and Financial Risk

The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for FRAN is 2.20 and that of GTLS is 1.70. This implies that it is easier for FRAN to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than GTLS. The debt ratio of FRAN is 0.00 compared to 0.62 for GTLS. GTLS can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than FRAN.

Valuation

FRAN currently trades at a forward P/E of 9.98, a P/B of 1.96, and a P/S of 0.45 while GTLS trades at a forward P/E of 26.28, a P/B of 2.57, and a P/S of 1.91. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, FRAN is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions




The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of FRAN is currently at a -15.83% to its one-year price target of 7.33. Looking at its rival pricing, GTLS is at a -1% relative to its price target of 69.33.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), FRAN is given a 3.00 while 2.10 placed for GTLS. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for FRAN stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for FRAN is 4.76 while that of GTLS is just 7.55. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for FRAN stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Chart Industries, Inc. defeats that of Francesca’s Holdings Corporation when the two are compared, with GTLS taking 3 out of the total factors that were been considered. GTLS happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, GTLS is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for GTLS is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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