Earnings

Financially Devastating or Fantastic? – Portola Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (PTLA), Carvana Co. (CVNA)

The shares of Portola Pharmaceuticals, Inc. have decreased by more than -15.32% this year alone. The shares recently went down by -4.80% or -$2.08 and now trades at $41.22. The shares of Carvana Co. (NYSE:CVNA), has jumped by 93.99% year to date as of 06/13/2018. The shares currently trade at $37.09 and have been able to report a change of 12.70% over the past one week.

The stock of Portola Pharmaceuticals, Inc. and Carvana Co. were two of the most active stocks on Wednesday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. The ROI of PTLA is -60.40% while that of CVNA is -49.20%. These figures suggest that CVNA ventures generate a higher ROI than that of PTLA.

Cash Flow

The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, PTLA’s free cash flow per share is a negative -0.4, while that of CVNA is also a negative -0.14.

Liquidity and Financial Risk



The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for PTLA is 7.60 and that of CVNA is 1.30. This implies that it is easier for PTLA to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than CVNA. The debt ratio of PTLA is 0.35 compared to 19.33 for CVNA. CVNA can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than PTLA.

Valuation

PTLA currently trades at a P/B of 8.77, and a P/S of 117.25 while CVNA trades at a P/B of 31.17, and a P/S of 4.47. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, PTLA is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of PTLA is currently at a -31.87% to its one-year price target of 60.50. Looking at its rival pricing, CVNA is at a 19.34% relative to its price target of 31.08.




When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), PTLA is given a 1.70 while 1.80 placed for CVNA. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for CVNA stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for PTLA is 5.53 while that of CVNA is just 9.89. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for PTLA stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Carvana Co. defeats that of Portola Pharmaceuticals, Inc. when the two are compared, with CVNA taking 4 out of the total factors that were been considered. CVNA happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, CVNA is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for CVNA is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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