Earnings

Uncovering the next great stocks: Heat Biologics, Inc. (HTBX), Phoenix New Media Limited (FENG)

The shares of Heat Biologics, Inc. have decreased by more than -55.86% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 16.55% or $0.24 and now trades at $1.69. The shares of Phoenix New Media Limited (NYSE:FENG), has slumped by -24.96% year to date as of 05/15/2018. The shares currently trade at $4.87 and have been able to report a change of 23.60% over the past one week.

The stock of Heat Biologics, Inc. and Phoenix New Media Limited were two of the most active stocks on Tueday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. The ROI of HTBX is -277.80% while that of FENG is 0.00%. These figures suggest that FENG ventures generate a higher ROI than that of HTBX.

Cash Flow

The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, HTBX’s free cash flow per share is a positive 0.28.

Liquidity and Financial Risk



The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for HTBX is 1.10 and that of FENG is 2.10. This implies that it is easier for HTBX to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than FENG. The debt ratio of HTBX is 0.00 compared to 0.13 for FENG. FENG can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than HTBX.

Valuation

HTBX currently trades at a P/B of 1.28, and a P/S of 6.23 while FENG trades at a forward P/E of 24.60, a P/B of 0.89, and a P/S of 1.35. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, FENG is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of HTBX is currently at a -93.56% to its one-year price target of 26.25. Looking at its rival pricing, FENG is at a -32.73% relative to its price target of 7.24.




When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), HTBX is given a 1.00 while 2.00 placed for FENG. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for FENG stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for HTBX is 0.42 while that of FENG is just 0.82. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for HTBX stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Phoenix New Media Limited defeats that of Heat Biologics, Inc. when the two are compared, with FENG taking 5 out of the total factors that were been considered. FENG happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, FENG is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for FENG is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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