Earnings

Which is more compelling pick right now? – eBay Inc. (EBAY), Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd. (TRQ)

The shares of eBay Inc. have increased by more than 1.72% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 0.34% or $0.13 and now trades at $38.39. The shares of Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd. (NYSE:TRQ), has slumped by -13.99% year to date as of 05/14/2018. The shares currently trade at $2.95 and have been able to report a change of 0.34% over the past one week.

The stock of eBay Inc. and Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd. were two of the most active stocks on Monday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. EBAY has an EBITDA margin of 30.89%, this implies that the underlying business of EBAY is more profitable. The ROI of EBAY is 11.00% while that of TRQ is 0.80%. These figures suggest that EBAY ventures generate a higher ROI than that of TRQ.

Cash Flow

The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, EBAY’s free cash flow per share is a positive 3.43, while that of TRQ is negative -0.04.

Liquidity and Financial Risk



The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for EBAY is 2.60 and that of TRQ is 5.60. This implies that it is easier for EBAY to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than TRQ. The debt ratio of EBAY is 1.21 compared to 0.46 for TRQ. EBAY can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than TRQ.

Valuation

EBAY currently trades at a forward P/E of 14.55, a P/B of 5.11, and a P/S of 3.84 while TRQ trades at a forward P/E of 56.73, a P/B of 0.66, and a P/S of 6.26. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, EBAY is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of EBAY is currently at a -20.83% to its one-year price target of 48.49. Looking at its rival pricing, TRQ is at a -26.25% relative to its price target of 4.00.




When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), EBAY is given a 2.30 while 3.00 placed for TRQ. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for TRQ stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for EBAY is 3.31 while that of TRQ is just 3.51. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for EBAY stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd. defeats that of eBay Inc. when the two are compared, with TRQ taking 5 out of the total factors that were been considered. TRQ happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, TRQ is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for TRQ is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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