Earnings

Uncovering the next great stocks: Thor Industries, Inc. (THO), AU Optronics Corp. (AUO)

The shares of Thor Industries, Inc. have decreased by more than -30.41% this year alone. The shares recently went down by -2.48% or -$2.67 and now trades at $104.88. The shares of AU Optronics Corp. (NYSE:AUO), has jumped by 4.33% year to date as of 04/16/2018. The shares currently trade at $4.34 and have been able to report a change of -1.81% over the past one week.

The stock of Thor Industries, Inc. and AU Optronics Corp. were two of the most active stocks on Monday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Next 5Y EPS Growth: 17.00% versus -6.10%

When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that THO will grow it’s earning at a 17.00% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to AUO which will have a positive growth at a -6.10% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of THO implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. THO has an EBITDA margin of 9.48%, this implies that the underlying business of THO is more profitable. The ROI of THO is 21.70% while that of AUO is 8.80%. These figures suggest that THO ventures generate a higher ROI than that of AUO.

Cash Flow



The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, THO’s free cash flow per share is a positive 0.2, while that of AUO is positive 4.29.

Liquidity and Financial Risk

The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for THO is 1.60 and that of AUO is 1.70. This implies that it is easier for THO to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than AUO. The debt ratio of THO is 0.05 compared to 0.55 for AUO. AUO can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than THO.

Valuation

THO currently trades at a forward P/E of 9.57, a P/B of 3.16, and a P/S of 0.68 while AUO trades at a P/B of 0.59, and a P/S of 0.37. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, THO is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions




The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of THO is currently at a -35.22% to its one-year price target of 161.89. Looking at its rival pricing, AUO is at a 31.52% relative to its price target of 3.30.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), THO is given a 1.70 while 4.00 placed for AUO. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for AUO stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for THO is 3.91 while that of AUO is just 32.96. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for THO stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Thor Industries, Inc. defeats that of AU Optronics Corp. when the two are compared, with THO taking 7 out of the total factors that were been considered. THO happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, THO is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for THO is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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