Earnings

Uncovering the next great stocks: Helios and Matheson Analytics Inc. (HMNY), TG Therapeutics, Inc. (TGTX)

The shares of Helios and Matheson Analytics Inc. have decreased by more than -49.13% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 6.29% or $0.19 and now trades at $3.21. The shares of TG Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:TGTX), has jumped by 63.41% year to date as of 04/13/2018. The shares currently trade at $13.40 and have been able to report a change of 3.47% over the past one week.

The stock of Helios and Matheson Analytics Inc. and TG Therapeutics, Inc. were two of the most active stocks on Friday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. These figures suggest that TGTX ventures generate a higher ROI than that of HMNY.

Cash Flow

The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, HMNY’s free cash flow per share is a negative -0.23, while that of TGTX is also a negative -16.67.

Liquidity and Financial Risk



The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for HMNY is 0.20 and that of TGTX is 3.30. This implies that it is easier for HMNY to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than TGTX.

Valuation

HMNY currently trades at a P/S of 14.77 while TGTX trades at a P/B of 13.27, and a P/S of 5051.80. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, HMNY is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of HMNY is currently at a -79.29% to its one-year price target of 15.50. Looking at its rival pricing, TGTX is at a -55.33% relative to its price target of 30.00.




When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), HMNY is given a 1.50 while 1.50 placed for TGTX. This means that analysts are equally bullish on their outlook for the two stocks stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for HMNY is 2.15 while that of TGTX is just 8.12. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for HMNY stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Helios and Matheson Analytics Inc. defeats that of TG Therapeutics, Inc. when the two are compared, with HMNY taking 5 out of the total factors that were been considered. HMNY happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, HMNY is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for HMNY is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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