Earnings

Are These Stocks A Sure Bet? – QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM), Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR)

The shares of QUALCOMM Incorporated have decreased by more than -12.95% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 0.96% or $0.53 and now trades at $55.73. The shares of Nektar Therapeutics (NASDAQ:NKTR), has jumped by 68.29% year to date as of 04/13/2018. The shares currently trade at $100.50 and have been able to report a change of 7.06% over the past one week.

The stock of QUALCOMM Incorporated and Nektar Therapeutics were two of the most active stocks on Friday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Next 5Y EPS Growth: 15.00% versus -7.30%

When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that QCOM will grow it’s earning at a 15.00% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to NKTR which will have a positive growth at a -7.30% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of QCOM implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. QCOM has an EBITDA margin of 18.75%, this implies that the underlying business of QCOM is more profitable. The ROI of QCOM is 3.60% while that of NKTR is -18.10%. These figures suggest that QCOM ventures generate a higher ROI than that of NKTR.

Cash Flow



The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, QCOM’s free cash flow per share is a positive 3.12, while that of NKTR is negative -0.03.

Liquidity and Financial Risk

The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for QCOM is 3.40 and that of NKTR is 5.80. This implies that it is easier for QCOM to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than NKTR. The debt ratio of QCOM is 0.95 compared to 0.00 for NKTR. QCOM can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than NKTR.

Valuation

QCOM currently trades at a forward P/E of 14.91, a P/B of 3.44, and a P/S of 3.65 while NKTR trades at a P/B of 182.73, and a P/S of 54.25. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, QCOM is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions




The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of QCOM is currently at a -18.56% to its one-year price target of 68.43. Looking at its rival pricing, NKTR is at a 3.08% relative to its price target of 97.50.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), QCOM is given a 2.40 while 1.70 placed for NKTR. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for QCOM stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for QCOM is 1.39 while that of NKTR is just 3.31. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for QCOM stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Nektar Therapeutics defeats that of QUALCOMM Incorporated when the two are compared, with NKTR taking 4 out of the total factors that were been considered. NKTR happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, NKTR is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for NKTR is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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