Earnings

A Comparison of Top Movers: QEP Resources, Inc. (QEP), Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT)

The shares of QEP Resources, Inc. have increased by more than 17.76% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 4.26% or $0.46 and now trades at $11.27. The shares of Allegiant Travel Company (NASDAQ:ALGT), has slumped by -2.39% year to date as of 04/13/2018. The shares currently trade at $151.05 and have been able to report a change of -12.43% over the past one week.

The stock of QEP Resources, Inc. and Allegiant Travel Company were two of the most active stocks on Friday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. The ROI of QEP is 6.30% while that of ALGT is 8.90%. These figures suggest that ALGT ventures generate a higher ROI than that of QEP.

Cash Flow

The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, QEP’s free cash flow per share is a negative -58.31, while that of ALGT is also a negative -10.17.

Liquidity and Financial Risk



The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for QEP is 0.30 and that of ALGT is 1.00. This implies that it is easier for QEP to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than ALGT. The debt ratio of QEP is 0.58 compared to 2.13 for ALGT. ALGT can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than QEP.

Valuation

QEP currently trades at a P/B of 0.71, and a P/S of 1.67 while ALGT trades at a forward P/E of 10.86, a P/B of 4.37, and a P/S of 1.77. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, QEP is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of QEP is currently at a -17.62% to its one-year price target of 13.68. Looking at its rival pricing, ALGT is at a -14.59% relative to its price target of 176.85.




When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), QEP is given a 2.10 while 2.30 placed for ALGT. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for ALGT stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for QEP is 2.97 while that of ALGT is just 7.49. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for QEP stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Allegiant Travel Company defeats that of QEP Resources, Inc. when the two are compared, with ALGT taking 6 out of the total factors that were been considered. ALGT happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, ALGT is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for ALGT is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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