The shares of Lannett Company, Inc. have decreased by more than -29.74% this year alone. The shares recently went down by -4.40% or -$0.75 and now trades at $16.30. The shares of Onconova Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:ONTX), has slumped by -18.67% year to date as of 02/20/2018. The shares currently trade at $1.22 and have been able to report a change of 22.00% over the past one week.
The stock of Lannett Company, Inc. and Onconova Therapeutics, Inc. were two of the most active stocks on Tuesday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.
Profitability and Returns
Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. LCI has an EBITDA margin of 38.03%, this implies that the underlying business of LCI is more profitable. The ROI of LCI is 5.80% while that of ONTX is -551.60%. These figures suggest that LCI ventures generate a higher ROI than that of ONTX.
The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, LCI’s free cash flow per share is a positive 0.01, while that of ONTX is negative -0.26.
Liquidity and Financial Risk
The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for LCI is 2.30 and that of ONTX is 1.00. This implies that it is easier for LCI to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than ONTX.
LCI currently trades at a forward P/E of 5.78, a P/B of 1.02, and a P/S of 0.99 while ONTX trades at a P/S of 16.24. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, LCI is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.
Analyst Price Targets and Opinions
The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of LCI is currently at a -34.8% to its one-year price target of 25.00. Looking at its rival pricing, ONTX is at a -82.57% relative to its price target of 7.00. This figure implies that over the next one year, ONTX is a better investment.
When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), LCI is given a 2.50 while 2.30 placed for ONTX. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for LCI stocks.
Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment
Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for LCI is 19.43 while that of ONTX is just 1.34. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for ONTX stock.
The stock of Lannett Company, Inc. defeats that of Onconova Therapeutics, Inc. when the two are compared, with LCI taking 6 out of the total factors that were been considered. LCI happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, LCI is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for LCI is better on when it is viewed on short interest.