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Which of these 2 stocks can turn out to be absolute gem? – Carbonite, Inc. (CARB), Infinity Property and Casualty Corporation (IPCC)

The shares of Carbonite, Inc. have increased by more than 5.68% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 22.24% or $4.82 and now trades at $26.52. The shares of Infinity Property and Casualty Corporation (NASDAQ:IPCC), has jumped by 8.54% year to date as of 02/14/2018. The shares currently trade at $115.05 and have been able to report a change of 18.79% over the past one week.

The stock of Carbonite, Inc. and Infinity Property and Casualty Corporation were two of the most active stocks on Wednesday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Next 5Y EPS Growth: 21.17% versus 9.00%

When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that CARB will grow it’s earning at a 21.17% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to IPCC which will have a positive growth at a 9.00% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of CARB implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.



Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. The ROI of CARB is -71.80% while that of IPCC is 5.90%. These figures suggest that IPCC ventures generate a higher ROI than that of CARB.

Cash Flow 




The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, CARB’s free cash flow per share is a positive 0, while that of IPCC is positive 2.77.

Liquidity and Financial Risk

The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The debt ratio of CARB is 3.12 compared to 0.38 for IPCC. CARB can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than IPCC.

Valuation

CARB currently trades at a forward P/E of 26.37, a P/B of 20.89, and a P/S of 3.18 while IPCC trades at a forward P/E of 20.04, a P/B of 1.76, and a P/S of 0.80. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, IPCC is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of CARB is currently at a -4.88% to its one-year price target of 27.88. Looking at its rival pricing, IPCC is at a 10.63% relative to its price target of 104.00. This figure implies that over the next one year, IPCC is a better investment.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), CARB is given a 2.00 while 3.00 placed for IPCC. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for IPCC stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for CARB is 9.77 while that of IPCC is just 2.85. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for IPCC stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Carbonite, Inc. defeats that of Infinity Property and Casualty Corporation when the two are compared, with CARB taking 5 out of the total factors that were been considered. CARB happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, CARB is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for CARB is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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