The shares of Kosmos Energy Ltd. have decreased by more than -16.64% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 7.74% or $0.41 and now trades at $5.71. The shares of Baozun Inc. (NASDAQ:BZUN), has jumped by 17.81% year to date as of 02/14/2018. The shares currently trade at $37.18 and have been able to report a change of 10.13% over the past one week.
The stock of Kosmos Energy Ltd. and Baozun Inc. were two of the most active stocks on Wednesday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.
Next 5Y EPS Growth: 64.30% versus 10.96%
When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that KOS will grow it’s earning at a 64.30% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to BZUN which will have a positive growth at a 10.96% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of KOS implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.
Profitability and Returns
Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. KOS has an EBITDA margin of 22.97%, this implies that the underlying business of KOS is more profitable. The ROI of KOS is -11.10% while that of BZUN is 4.30%. These figures suggest that BZUN ventures generate a higher ROI than that of KOS.
The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, KOS’s free cash flow per share is a positive 0.01.
Liquidity and Financial Risk
The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for KOS is 1.70 and that of BZUN is 2.40. This implies that it is easier for KOS to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than BZUN. The debt ratio of KOS is 1.07 compared to 0.22 for BZUN. KOS can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than BZUN.
KOS currently trades at a forward P/E of 167.94, a P/B of 2.20, and a P/S of 3.96 while BZUN trades at a forward P/E of 31.94, a P/B of 7.71, and a P/S of 3.17. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, KOS is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.
Analyst Price Targets and Opinions
The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of KOS is currently at a -34.29% to its one-year price target of 8.69. Looking at its rival pricing, BZUN is at a -2.72% relative to its price target of 38.22. This figure implies that over the next one year, BZUN is a better investment.
When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), KOS is given a 2.10 while 1.80 placed for BZUN. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for KOS stocks.
The stock of Kosmos Energy Ltd. defeats that of Baozun Inc. when the two are compared, with KOS taking 6 out of the total factors that were been considered. KOS happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, KOS is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for KOS is better on when it is viewed on short interest.