The shares of Exxon Mobil Corporation have decreased by more than -8.63% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 0.84% or $0.64 and now trades at $76.42. The shares of Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:SIRI), has jumped by 9.14% year to date as of 02/12/2018. The shares currently trade at $5.85 and have been able to report a change of -2.82% over the past one week.
The stock of Exxon Mobil Corporation and Sirius XM Holdings Inc. were two of the most active stocks on Monday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.
Next 5Y EPS Growth: 21.35% versus 23.32%
When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that XOM will grow it’s earning at a 21.35% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to SIRI which will have a positive growth at a 23.32% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of SIRI implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.
Profitability and Returns
Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. XOM has an EBITDA margin of 17.23%, this implies that the underlying business of SIRI is more profitable. The ROI of XOM is 0.60% while that of SIRI is 18.80%. These figures suggest that SIRI ventures generate a higher ROI than that of XOM.
The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, XOM’s free cash flow per share is a negative -3.26, while that of SIRI is positive 7.44.
Liquidity and Financial Risk
The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for XOM is 0.90 and that of SIRI is 0.20. This implies that it is easier for XOM to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than SIRI.
XOM currently trades at a forward P/E of 16.46, a P/B of 1.79, and a P/S of 1.29 while SIRI trades at a forward P/E of 20.97, and a P/S of 4.98. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, XOM is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.
Analyst Price Targets and Opinions
The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of XOM is currently at a -12.87% to its one-year price target of 87.71. Looking at its rival pricing, SIRI is at a -6.1% relative to its price target of 6.23. This figure implies that over the next one year, SIRI is a better investment.
When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), XOM is given a 2.80 while 2.40 placed for SIRI. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for XOM stocks.
Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment
Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for XOM is 2.78 while that of SIRI is just 9.80. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for XOM stock.
The stock of Exxon Mobil Corporation defeats that of Sirius XM Holdings Inc. when the two are compared, with XOM taking 6 out of the total factors that were been considered. XOM happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, XOM is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for XOM is better on when it is viewed on short interest.