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Which Market Offer More Value? – Microsoft Corporation (MSFT), Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated (DBD)

The shares of Microsoft Corporation have increased by more than 2.97% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 0.30% or $0.26 and now trades at $88.08. The shares of Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated (NYSE:DBD), has jumped by 11.31% year to date as of 01/11/2018. The shares currently trade at $18.20 and have been able to report a change of 7.69% over the past one week.

The stock of Microsoft Corporation and Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated were two of the most active stocks on Thursday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Next 5Y EPS Growth: 10.58% versus 29.69% 

When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that MSFT will grow it’s earning at a 10.58% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to DBD which will have a positive growth at a 29.69% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of DBD implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.



Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. MSFT has an EBITDA margin of 27.23%, this implies that the underlying business of MSFT is more profitable. The ROI of MSFT is 11.70% while that of DBD is -3.90%. These figures suggest that MSFT ventures generate a higher ROI than that of DBD.

Cash Flow 




The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, MSFT’s free cash flow per share is a positive 8.06, while that of DBD is negative -2.19.

Liquidity and Financial Risk

The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for MSFT is 3.10 and that of DBD is 1.50. This implies that it is easier for MSFT to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than DBD. The debt ratio of MSFT is 0.95 compared to 3.33 for DBD. DBD can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than MSFT.

Valuation

MSFT currently trades at a forward P/E of 23.32, a P/B of 7.57, and a P/S of 7.14 while DBD trades at a forward P/E of 11.77, a P/B of 2.40, and a P/S of 0.30. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, DBD is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of MSFT is currently at a -5.51% to its one-year price target of 93.22. Looking at its rival pricing, DBD is at a -25.41% relative to its price target of 24.40. This figure implies that over the next one year, DBD is a better investment.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), MSFT is given a 1.80 while 2.30 placed for DBD. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for DBD stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for MSFT is 2.25 while that of DBD is just 12.28. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for MSFT stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated defeats that of Microsoft Corporation when the two are compared, with DBD taking 5 out of the total factors that were been considered. DBD happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, DBD is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for DBD is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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