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Taking Tally Of Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. – Petrobras (PBR), Anadarko Petroleum Corporation (APC)

The shares of Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. – Petrobras have increased by more than 10.59% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 2.99% or $0.33 and now trades at $11.38. The shares of Anadarko Petroleum Corporation (NYSE:APC), has jumped by 9.06% year to date as of 01/11/2018. The shares currently trade at $58.50 and have been able to report a change of 5.12% over the past one week.

The stock of Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. – Petrobras and Anadarko Petroleum Corporation were two of the most active stocks on Thursday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. The ROI of PBR is 2.30% while that of APC is -6.30%. These figures suggest that PBR ventures generate a higher ROI than that of APC.



Cash Flow 

The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, PBR’s free cash flow per share is a positive 6.97, while that of APC is negative -7.93.

Liquidity and Financial Risk




The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for PBR is 2.00 and that of APC is 2.00. This implies that it is easier for PBR to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than APC. The debt ratio of PBR is 1.36 compared to 1.44 for APC. APC can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than PBR.

Valuation

PBR currently trades at a forward P/E of 12.76, a P/B of 0.92, and a P/S of 0.83 while APC trades at a P/B of 3.00, and a P/S of 3.08. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, PBR is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of PBR is currently at a -2.32% to its one-year price target of 11.65. Looking at its rival pricing, APC is at a -4.75% relative to its price target of 61.42. This figure implies that over the next one year, APC is a better investment.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), PBR is given a 2.60 while 1.90 placed for APC. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for PBR stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for PBR is 3.52 while that of APC is just 2.35. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for APC stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. – Petrobras defeats that of Anadarko Petroleum Corporation when the two are compared, with PBR taking 7 out of the total factors that were been considered. PBR happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, PBR is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for PBR is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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