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Choosing Between Hot Stocks: Denbury Resources Inc. (DNR), Trilogy Metals Inc. (TMQ)

The shares of Denbury Resources Inc. have increased by more than 6.33% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 4.44% or $0.1 and now trades at $2.35. The shares of Trilogy Metals Inc. (NYSE:TMQ), has jumped by 41.28% year to date as of 01/11/2018. The shares currently trade at $1.54 and have been able to report a change of 22.22% over the past one week.

The stock of Denbury Resources Inc. and Trilogy Metals Inc. were two of the most active stocks on Thursday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. DNR has an EBITDA margin of 33.67%, this implies that the underlying business of DNR is more profitable. These figures suggest that TMQ ventures generate a higher ROI than that of DNR.



Valuation

DNR currently trades at a forward P/E of 9.79, a P/B of 1.78, and a P/S of 0.91 while TMQ trades at a P/B of 5.03, This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, DNR is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions




The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of DNR is currently at a 24.34% to its one-year price target of 1.89. Looking at its rival pricing, TMQ is at a -23% relative to its price target of 2.00. This figure implies that over the next one year, TMQ is a better investment.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), DNR is given a 3.00 while 2.00 placed for TMQ. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for DNR stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for DNR is 7.95 while that of TMQ is just 2.53. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for TMQ stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Denbury Resources Inc. defeats that of Trilogy Metals Inc. when the two are compared, with DNR taking 4 out of the total factors that were been considered. DNR happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, DNR is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for DNR is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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