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Choosing Between Hot Stocks: Bioverativ Inc. (BIVV), Amyris, Inc. (AMRS)

The shares of Bioverativ Inc. have increased by more than 16.30% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 6.74% or $3.96 and now trades at $62.71. The shares of Amyris, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMRS), has jumped by 27.20% year to date as of 01/11/2018. The shares currently trade at $4.77 and have been able to report a change of 14.66% over the past one week.

The stock of Bioverativ Inc. and Amyris, Inc. were two of the most active stocks on Thursday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Next 5Y EPS Growth: 13.47% versus 30.00% 

When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that BIVV will grow it’s earning at a 13.47% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to AMRS which will have a positive growth at a 30.00% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of AMRS implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.



Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. The ROI of BIVV is 77.70% while that of AMRS is -949.30%. These figures suggest that BIVV ventures generate a higher ROI than that of AMRS.

Cash Flow 




The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, BIVV’s free cash flow per share is a positive 0.02, while that of AMRS is negative -0.07.

Liquidity and Financial Risk

The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for BIVV is 2.00 and that of AMRS is 0.90. This implies that it is easier for BIVV to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than AMRS.

Valuation

BIVV currently trades at a forward P/E of 18.37, a P/B of 9.05, and a P/S of 6.22 while AMRS trades at a P/S of 2.35. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, BIVV is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of BIVV is currently at a 0.42% to its one-year price target of 62.45. Looking at its rival pricing, AMRS is at a -49.79% relative to its price target of 9.50. This figure implies that over the next one year, AMRS is a better investment.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), BIVV is given a 2.40 while 2.50 placed for AMRS. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for AMRS stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for BIVV is 6.47 while that of AMRS is just 9.69. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for BIVV stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Amyris, Inc. defeats that of Bioverativ Inc. when the two are compared, with AMRS taking 6 out of the total factors that were been considered. AMRS happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, AMRS is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for AMRS is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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