Earnings

Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK) is better stock pick than Atkore International Group Inc. (ATKR)

The shares of Atkore International Group Inc. have increased by more than 3.08% this year alone. The shares recently went down by -2.04% or -$0.46 and now trades at $22.11. The shares of Mohawk Industries, Inc. (NYSE:MHK), has slumped by -24.03% year to date as of 06/13/2018. The shares currently trade at $209.61 and have been able to report a change of 1.84% over the past one week.

The stock of Atkore International Group Inc. and Mohawk Industries, Inc. were two of the most active stocks on Wednesday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Next 5Y EPS Growth: 10.00% versus 8.40%

When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that ATKR will grow it’s earning at a 10.00% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to MHK which will have a positive growth at a 8.40% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of ATKR implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. ATKR has an EBITDA margin of 31.11%, this implies that the underlying business of ATKR is more profitable. The ROI of ATKR is 11.90% while that of MHK is 10.80%. These figures suggest that ATKR ventures generate a higher ROI than that of MHK.

Cash Flow



The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, ATKR’s free cash flow per share is a negative -0.28, while that of MHK is also a negative -0.71.

Liquidity and Financial Risk

The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for ATKR is 2.50 and that of MHK is 1.50. This implies that it is easier for ATKR to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than MHK. The debt ratio of ATKR is 14.63 compared to 0.40 for MHK. ATKR can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than MHK.

Valuation

ATKR currently trades at a forward P/E of 8.63, a P/B of 18.27, and a P/S of 0.69 while MHK trades at a forward P/E of 12.20, a P/B of 2.13, and a P/S of 1.58. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, ATKR is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions




The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of ATKR is currently at a -11.2% to its one-year price target of 24.90. Looking at its rival pricing, MHK is at a -24.28% relative to its price target of 276.83.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), ATKR is given a 2.00 while 1.90 placed for MHK. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for ATKR stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for ATKR is 1.26 while that of MHK is just 1.56. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for ATKR stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Mohawk Industries, Inc. defeats that of Atkore International Group Inc. when the two are compared, with MHK taking 4 out of the total factors that were been considered. MHK happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, MHK is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for MHK is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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