Earnings

Revance Therapeutics, Inc. (RVNC) is better stock pick than The Michaels Companies, Inc. (MIK)

The shares of The Michaels Companies, Inc. have decreased by more than -10.13% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 3.28% or $0.69 and now trades at $21.74. The shares of Revance Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:RVNC), has slumped by -12.17% year to date as of 06/12/2018. The shares currently trade at $31.40 and have been able to report a change of 7.72% over the past one week.

The stock of The Michaels Companies, Inc. and Revance Therapeutics, Inc. were two of the most active stocks on Tuesday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Next 5Y EPS Growth: 11.10% versus 11.60%

When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that MIK will grow it’s earning at a 11.10% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to RVNC which will have a positive growth at a 11.60% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of RVNC implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. MIK has an EBITDA margin of 16.01%, this implies that the underlying business of MIK is more profitable. The ROI of MIK is 43.40% while that of RVNC is -44.50%. These figures suggest that MIK ventures generate a higher ROI than that of RVNC.

Cash Flow



The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, MIK’s free cash flow per share is a positive 6.76, while that of RVNC is negative -4.81.

Liquidity and Financial Risk

The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for MIK is 1.80 and that of RVNC is 11.90. This implies that it is easier for MIK to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than RVNC.

Valuation

MIK currently trades at a forward P/E of 8.76, and a P/S of 0.70 while RVNC trades at a P/B of 4.77, and a P/S of 2854.26. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, MIK is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions




The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of MIK is currently at a -7.01% to its one-year price target of 23.38. Looking at its rival pricing, RVNC is at a -36.64% relative to its price target of 49.56.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), MIK is given a 2.30 while 2.00 placed for RVNC. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for MIK stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for MIK is 5.27 while that of RVNC is just 8.71. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for MIK stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Revance Therapeutics, Inc. defeats that of The Michaels Companies, Inc. when the two are compared, with RVNC taking 6 out of the total factors that were been considered. RVNC happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, RVNC is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for RVNC is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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