Earnings

Set Sail With Cimarex Energy Co. (XEC), Seaspan Corporation (SSW)

The shares of Cimarex Energy Co. have decreased by more than -20.73% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 2.92% or $2.74 and now trades at $96.72. The shares of Seaspan Corporation (NYSE:SSW), has jumped by 4.44% year to date as of 04/16/2018. The shares currently trade at $7.05 and have been able to report a change of 5.22% over the past one week.

The stock of Cimarex Energy Co. and Seaspan Corporation were two of the most active stocks on Monday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Next 5Y EPS Growth: 48.52% versus 20.00%

When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that XEC will grow it’s earning at a 48.52% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to SSW which will have a positive growth at a 20.00% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of XEC implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. XEC has an EBITDA margin of 38.26%, this implies that the underlying business of XEC is more profitable. The ROI of XEC is 11.70% while that of SSW is 6.00%. These figures suggest that XEC ventures generate a higher ROI than that of SSW.

Cash Flow



The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, XEC’s free cash flow per share is a negative -0.65.

Liquidity and Financial Risk

The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for XEC is 1.40 and that of SSW is 0.90. This implies that it is easier for XEC to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than SSW. The debt ratio of XEC is 0.58 compared to 1.59 for SSW. SSW can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than XEC.

Valuation

XEC currently trades at a forward P/E of 11.35, a P/B of 3.52, and a P/S of 4.79 while SSW trades at a forward P/E of 5.11, a P/B of 0.46, and a P/S of 1.14. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, SSW is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions




The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of XEC is currently at a -29.22% to its one-year price target of 136.65. Looking at its rival pricing, SSW is at a -6.25% relative to its price target of 7.52.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), XEC is given a 2.00 while 2.90 placed for SSW. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for SSW stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for XEC is 2.68 while that of SSW is just 3.54. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for XEC stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Seaspan Corporation defeats that of Cimarex Energy Co. when the two are compared, with SSW taking 5 out of the total factors that were been considered. SSW happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, SSW is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for SSW is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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