Earnings

Choosing Between Hot Stocks: UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH), Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN)

The shares of UnitedHealth Group Incorporated have increased by more than 4.47% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 2.69% or $6.04 and now trades at $230.32. The shares of Wynn Resorts, Limited (NASDAQ:WYNN), has jumped by 11.93% year to date as of 04/16/2018. The shares currently trade at $188.70 and have been able to report a change of 4.61% over the past one week.

The stock of UnitedHealth Group Incorporated and Wynn Resorts, Limited were two of the most active stocks on Monday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Next 5Y EPS Growth: 15.79% versus 8.00%

When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that UNH will grow it’s earning at a 15.79% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to WYNN which will have a positive growth at a 8.00% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of UNH implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. UNH has an EBITDA margin of 8.68%, this implies that the underlying business of WYNN is more profitable. The ROI of UNH is 13.60% while that of WYNN is 9.30%. These figures suggest that UNH ventures generate a higher ROI than that of WYNN.

Cash Flow



The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, UNH’s free cash flow per share is a negative -1.91, while that of WYNN is positive 4.17.

Liquidity and Financial Risk

The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The debt ratio of UNH is 0.66 compared to 10.16 for WYNN. WYNN can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than UNH.

Valuation

UNH currently trades at a forward P/E of 16.34, a P/B of 4.68, and a P/S of 1.11 while WYNN trades at a forward P/E of 20.58, a P/B of 20.38, and a P/S of 3.30. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, UNH is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions




The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of UNH is currently at a -15.22% to its one-year price target of 271.67. Looking at its rival pricing, WYNN is at a -7.1% relative to its price target of 203.13.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), UNH is given a 1.50 while 2.40 placed for WYNN. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for WYNN stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for UNH is 2.06 while that of WYNN is just 0.75. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for WYNN stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Wynn Resorts, Limited defeats that of UnitedHealth Group Incorporated when the two are compared, with WYNN taking 5 out of the total factors that were been considered. WYNN happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, WYNN is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for WYNN is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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