Earnings

Uncovering the next great stocks: Continental Resources, Inc. (CLR), Hi-Crush Partners LP (HCLP)

The shares of Continental Resources, Inc. have increased by more than 14.65% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 3.23% or $1.9 and now trades at $60.73. The shares of Hi-Crush Partners LP (NYSE:HCLP), has jumped by 2.34% year to date as of 04/05/2018. The shares currently trade at $10.95 and have been able to report a change of 1.39% over the past one week.

The stock of Continental Resources, Inc. and Hi-Crush Partners LP were two of the most active stocks on Thuday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. CLR has an EBITDA margin of 14.44%, this implies that the underlying business of HCLP is more profitable. The ROI of CLR is 3.20% while that of HCLP is 9.40%. These figures suggest that HCLP ventures generate a higher ROI than that of CLR.

Cash Flow

The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, CLR’s free cash flow per share is a positive 23.2.

Liquidity and Financial Risk



The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for CLR is 0.90 and that of HCLP is 2.00. This implies that it is easier for CLR to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than HCLP. The debt ratio of CLR is 1.24 compared to 0.25 for HCLP. CLR can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than HCLP.

Valuation

CLR currently trades at a forward P/E of 22.57, a P/B of 4.39, and a P/S of 7.10 while HCLP trades at a forward P/E of 5.18, a P/B of 1.24, and a P/S of 1.65. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, HCLP is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of CLR is currently at a -2.14% to its one-year price target of 62.06. Looking at its rival pricing, HCLP is at a -34.7% relative to its price target of 16.77.




When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), CLR is given a 1.90 while 1.90 placed for HCLP. This means that analysts are equally bullish on their outlook for the two stocks stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for CLR is 4.65 while that of HCLP is just 3.05. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for HCLP stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Continental Resources, Inc. defeats that of Hi-Crush Partners LP when the two are compared, with CLR taking 3 out of the total factors that were been considered. CLR happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, CLR is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for CLR is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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