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A Comparison of Top Movers: Red Hat, Inc. (RHT), Universal Display Corporation (OLED)

The shares of Red Hat, Inc. have increased by more than 21.73% this year alone. The shares recently went down by -5.32% or -$8.22 and now trades at $146.20. The shares of Universal Display Corporation (NASDAQ:OLED), has slumped by -42.31% year to date as of 03/28/2018. The shares currently trade at $99.60 and have been able to report a change of -13.35% over the past one week.

The stock of Red Hat, Inc. and Universal Display Corporation were two of the most active stocks on Wednesday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Next 5Y EPS Growth: 18.08% versus 34.68% 

When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that RHT will grow it’s earning at a 18.08% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to OLED which will have a positive growth at a 34.68% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of OLED implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.



Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. RHT has an EBITDA margin of 20.15%, this implies that the underlying business of OLED is more profitable. The ROI of RHT is 13.30% while that of OLED is 17.00%. These figures suggest that OLED ventures generate a higher ROI than that of RHT.

Cash Flow 




The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, RHT’s free cash flow per share is a positive 5.65, while that of OLED is positive 0.02.

Liquidity and Financial Risk

The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for RHT is 1.40 and that of OLED is 8.10. This implies that it is easier for RHT to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than OLED. The debt ratio of RHT is 0.53 compared to 0.00 for OLED. RHT can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than OLED.

Valuation

RHT currently trades at a forward P/E of 43.75, a P/B of 18.07, and a P/S of 9.52 while OLED trades at a forward P/E of 24.24, a P/B of 7.06, and a P/S of 14.62. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, OLED is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of RHT is currently at a 6.12% to its one-year price target of 137.77. Looking at its rival pricing, OLED is at a -45.18% relative to its price target of 181.67. This figure implies that over the next one year, OLED is a better investment.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), RHT is given a 2.20 while 2.20 placed for OLED. This means that analysts are equally bullish on their outlook for the two stocks stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for RHT is 3.66 while that of OLED is just 2.84. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for OLED stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Red Hat, Inc. defeats that of Universal Display Corporation when the two are compared, with RHT taking 3 out of the total factors that were been considered. RHT happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, RHT is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for RHT is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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