Which of 2 stocks would appeal to long-term investors? Barrick Gold Corporation (ABX), Pacific Ethanol, Inc. (PEIX)

The shares of Barrick Gold Corporation have decreased by more than -16.17% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 2.62% or $0.31 and now trades at $12.13. The shares of Pacific Ethanol, Inc. (NASDAQ:PEIX), has slumped by -8.79% year to date as of 03/12/2018. The shares currently trade at $4.15 and have been able to report a change of 13.70% over the past one week.

The stock of Barrick Gold Corporation and Pacific Ethanol, Inc. were two of the most active stocks on Monday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Next 5Y EPS Growth: -4.89% versus 20.00%

When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that ABX will grow it’s earning at a -4.89% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to PEIX which will have a positive growth at a 20.00% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of PEIX implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. The ROI of ABX is 11.10% while that of PEIX is 4.20%. These figures suggest that ABX ventures generate a higher ROI than that of PEIX.

Cash Flow 

The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, ABX’s free cash flow per share is a positive 2.92, while that of PEIX is positive 0.86.

Liquidity and Financial Risk

The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for ABX is 2.70 and that of PEIX is 2.30. This implies that it is easier for ABX to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than PEIX. The debt ratio of ABX is 0.69 compared to 0.65 for PEIX. ABX can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than PEIX.


ABX currently trades at a forward P/E of 16.48, a P/B of 1.52, and a P/S of 1.69 while PEIX trades at a P/B of 0.48, and a P/S of 0.11. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, ABX is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of ABX is currently at a -25.86% to its one-year price target of 16.36. Looking at its rival pricing, PEIX is at a -57.44% relative to its price target of 9.75. This figure implies that over the next one year, PEIX is a better investment.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), ABX is given a 2.80 while 2.00 placed for PEIX. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for ABX stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for ABX is 0.68 while that of PEIX is just 7.89. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for ABX stock.


The stock of Barrick Gold Corporation defeats that of Pacific Ethanol, Inc. when the two are compared, with ABX taking 5 out of the total factors that were been considered. ABX happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, ABX is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for ABX is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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