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Uncovering the next great stocks: MBIA Inc. (MBI), Anthera Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ANTH)

The shares of MBIA Inc. have increased by more than 14.89% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 9.79% or $0.75 and now trades at $8.41. The shares of Anthera Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:ANTH), has jumped by 8.48% year to date as of 02/14/2018. The shares currently trade at $1.79 and have been able to report a change of 12.58% over the past one week.

The stock of MBIA Inc. and Anthera Pharmaceuticals, Inc. were two of the most active stocks on Wednesday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Next 5Y EPS Growth: 10.00% versus 10.00%

When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that MBI will grow it’s earning at a 10.00% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to ANTH which will have a positive growth at a 10.00% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of All else equal, the two stocks’ implies a similar potential for capital appreciation. over the years.



Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. These figures suggest that ANTH ventures generate a higher ROI than that of MBI.

Cash Flow 




The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, MBI’s free cash flow per share is a positive 0, while that of ANTH is negative -5.26.

Valuation

MBI currently trades at a P/B of 0.61, and a P/S of 3.54 while ANTH trades at This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, MBI is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of MBI is currently at a -16.15% to its one-year price target of 10.03. Looking at its rival pricing, ANTH is at a -28.4% relative to its price target of 2.50. This figure implies that over the next one year, ANTH is a better investment.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), MBI is given a 2.40 while 2.60 placed for ANTH. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for ANTH stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for MBI is 17.92 while that of ANTH is just 2.68. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for ANTH stock.

Conclusion

The stock of MBIA Inc. defeats that of Anthera Pharmaceuticals, Inc. when the two are compared, with MBI taking 4 out of the total factors that were been considered. MBI happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, MBI is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for MBI is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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