The shares of Twitter, Inc. have increased by more than 39.28% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 8.05% or $2.49 and now trades at $33.44. The shares of Vericel Corporation (NASDAQ:VCEL), has jumped by 34.86% year to date as of 02/13/2018. The shares currently trade at $7.35 and have been able to report a change of 2.08% over the past one week.
The stock of Twitter, Inc. and Vericel Corporation were two of the most active stocks on Tuesday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.
Profitability and Returns
Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. TWTR has an EBITDA margin of 10.46%, this implies that the underlying business of TWTR is more profitable. The ROI of TWTR is -6.10% while that of VCEL is 534.60%. These figures suggest that VCEL ventures generate a higher ROI than that of TWTR.
The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, TWTR’s free cash flow per share is a positive 6.38, while that of VCEL is negative -0.01.
Liquidity and Financial Risk
The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for TWTR is 10.40 and that of VCEL is 2.50. This implies that it is easier for TWTR to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than VCEL. The debt ratio of TWTR is 0.37 compared to 0.60 for VCEL. VCEL can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than TWTR.
TWTR currently trades at a forward P/E of 50.90, a P/B of 5.10, and a P/S of 9.74 while VCEL trades at a P/B of 14.70, and a P/S of 4.58. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, TWTR is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.
Analyst Price Targets and Opinions
The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of TWTR is currently at a 36.94% to its one-year price target of 24.42. Looking at its rival pricing, VCEL is at a 0.14% relative to its price target of 7.34. This figure implies that over the next one year, VCEL is a better investment.
When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), TWTR is given a 3.10 while 1.50 placed for VCEL. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for TWTR stocks.
Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment
Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for TWTR is 1.66 while that of VCEL is just 1.57. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for VCEL stock.
The stock of Vericel Corporation defeats that of Twitter, Inc. when the two are compared, with VCEL taking 6 out of the total factors that were been considered. VCEL happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, VCEL is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for VCEL is better on when it is viewed on short interest.